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2024-12-14 07:35:02
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CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.The US dollar index rose more than 0.2%, the Japanese yen once fell below 152, and the NZD fell by 1.1%. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, the ICE dollar index rose by 0.25% to 106.407 points, and then rebounded to 106.040 points at 14:31 Beijing time, and rose to 106.637 points at 23:53. The dollar rose 0.49% against the yen to 151.95 yen, and the intraday trading range was 150.90-152.18 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0528, the pound rose 0.17% to 1.2772, and the dollar rose 0.54% to 0.8829 against the Swiss franc. Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar fell by 0.95% against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar fell by 1.10% against the US dollar, and the US dollar rose by 0.07% against the Canadian dollar.Industry Report: API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by about 500,000 barrels last week. According to american petroleum institute (API) data, API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by+499,000 barrels in the week of December 6, compared with+1.232 million barrels in the previous week. Last week, API Cushing crude oil inventory was-1.517 million barrels, with the previous value of+112,000 barrels. Last week, the inventory of API refined oil gasoline was+2.852 million barrels (previous value+4.623 million barrels) and the inventory of distillate oil was-185,000 barrels (previous value+1.014 million barrels).


The yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit a new low, and the industry has been optimistic about the bond market for a long time. Recently, the bond market has continued to stage a strong market, with the yield of 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds hitting record lows and the futures price of treasury bonds hitting record highs. As the tone of monetary policy shifts from "steady" to "moderately loose", the market expects to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. Many insiders believe that the strong bond market pattern is expected to continue until 2025. Under the background of further opening of interest rate downside, long-term bonds have become the focus of investors' layout. (SSE)AI can solve partial differential equations thousands of times faster than before, and partial differential equations play an important role in engineering and science. In a recent study, scientists from Johns Hopkins University in the United States have developed a new artificial intelligence (AI) model called "Differential Mapping Operator Learning" (DIMON), which can solve complex partial differential equations on personal computers, thousands of times faster than before, and is expected to "show its talents" in the fields of aerospace, automobiles and medicine. Related papers were published in the journal Nature Computational Science published on the 9th. (Science and Technology Daily)US President Biden made a speech on the latest developments in Syria. US President Biden said that the collapse of the Assad regime is a historic opportunity for the Syrian people, and they can build a better future for their country. This is also a moment full of risks and uncertainties. Biden said: "When we all turn to the next step, the United States will cooperate with our partners and stakeholders in Syria to help them seize the opportunity to manage risks."


NVIDIA's decline widened to 3%.The New Zealand dollar just hit the 0.5800 mark against the US dollar, and the latest report was 0.5800, down 1.08% in the day.The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, Google rose more than 5%, and the three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.25%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.30%. Chinese stocks fell collectively, with the China ETF falling nearly 13% when it tripled its wealth, and the Nasdaq China Jinlong Index falling more than 4%. Chip stocks generally fell, Micron Technology fell nearly 5%, Broadcom and TSMC fell nearly 4%, Intel fell more than 3%, and NVIDIA and Qualcomm fell nearly 3%. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell by 6.68%, and its revenue in the second quarter and performance guidance in this quarter fell short of expectations. Google rose by 5.59%, and the company launched the latest quantum chip "Willow" to achieve a major technological breakthrough.

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